Intelligence desk
The analytics surface, shown honestly
Ten modules, each built against a typed provider contract. No market data provider is connected yet, so each module explains the question it answers and reports its integration status instead of displaying a number.
Attention
Trending games
Where is participation concentrating right now?
Fixtures ranked by measured attention, each with the provider and retrieval time.
Requires the schedules & results feed. Fixtures, start times, and official results for settlement context.
Event contracts
Prediction markets
Do the exchange and the book disagree, and by how much?
Event-contract prices read as probabilities, alongside the de-vigged sportsbook price for the same outcome.
Requires the prediction market data feed. Event-contract prices, order-book depth, and open interest from permitted venues.
Repricing
Line movement
Which markets have repriced, and when did it happen?
Open-to-current price paths per market, with the size of each move in points.
Requires the odds & pricing feed. Posted prices across venues, used for implied-probability and hold calculations.
Flow
Market sentiment
Is money arriving in the same direction as tickets?
Ticket-count versus handle splits, shown only for operators that publish them, and attributed to each.
Requires the flow & positioning feed. Ticket-versus-handle splits, only where an operator publishes them.
Generated
AI daily summary
What changed today, and which numbers say so?
A written summary of the day's connected data, published only with citations to the underlying figures.
Requires the editorial pipeline feed. Published, by-lined analysis with citations and review dates.
Conditions
Weather impact
Do conditions plausibly belong in this outcome distribution?
Venue forecasts from a named meteorological provider, with pricing effects shown only where measured.
Requires the weather feed. Venue forecasts used to explain how conditions enter outcome distributions.
Availability
Participation tracker
Who is officially listed, and how did the market respond?
Official league availability designations, quoted verbatim and attributed to the issuing report.
Requires the participation reports feed. Official league availability reports, attributed to the issuing league.
Depth
Most active markets
How much size actually sits behind each quote?
Traded volume and order-book depth per market, from permitted venues only.
Requires the prediction market data feed. Event-contract prices, order-book depth, and open interest from permitted venues.
Deltas
Probability changes
Which estimates moved most, and over what period?
Largest probability moves over a stated window, with the before and after values.
Requires the prediction market data feed. Event-contract prices, order-book depth, and open interest from permitted venues.
Method
How this desk will report
- Every value carries the provider that supplied it and the time it was retrieved.
- A cause is printed only when it is documented, never when it is merely plausible.
- Nothing is described as live or real-time unless it is being retrieved on request.
- Where a figure is an estimate, it is labelled as an estimate.
Sources
No source is connected to this section yet. Nothing here should be read as a current factual claim.
Nothing in this section is described as live or real-time, because nothing here is currently being retrieved from an external source. When a provider is connected, each value will carry its provider name and retrieval timestamp.
Learn
Featured learning articles
Original explainers, from odds notation through expected value and model uncertainty. These are the pages that are actually published.
Odds formats: American, decimal, and fractional
Three notations for the same underlying quantity. Learn to convert between them and to see the implied probability behind each.
Read FoundationImplied probability and the margin
Every posted price is a probability with a margin attached. Removing that margin is the first analytical step in any market read.
Read IntermediateLine movement and market efficiency
How prices update, which moves tend to carry information, and why the closing number is a widely used benchmark.
Read IntermediateHow prediction markets work
Order books, contract settlement, and why exchange quotes can be read more directly as probabilities.
Read AdvancedExpected value, variance, and sample size
The arithmetic of long-run outcomes, and why short samples are close to uninformative.
ReadPrediction markets
Prediction market education
An exchange matches you against another participant and charges a fee. A sportsbook posts a price and manages its own risk. That single structural difference changes how each quote should be read.
Order book, not a house line
Prices come from resting orders between participants. A contract trading at 0.58 corresponds to a 58% probability estimate, with no operator margin to strip out first.
A different regulatory regime
In the US, event contracts sit under federal commodities oversight while sportsbooks are licensed state by state. Which product you mean determines which rules apply.
Settlement is a real risk
A well-written contract names an explicit public settlement source. Ambiguous settlement language is a structural flaw that sits alongside price risk.
Market structures compared
VerifiedStructural categories, not venues. We do not name, rank, or link to operators.
Exchange / order book
Participants post and match orders with each other.
Cost: An explicit fee, charged separately from the price.
Because no operator takes the other side, the traded price reads more directly as a probability — subject to fees and to how much size is resting on the book.
Operator-priced sportsbook
The operator posts a price and manages its own risk.
Cost: A margin embedded inside the posted price.
The margin has to be removed before a posted price can be compared with a probability estimate. That arithmetic is covered in the learning hub.
Unregulated / offshore
Varies, and is often not disclosed.
Cost: Frequently undisclosed.
Included only so the structural categories are complete. We do not identify, rank, review, or link to individual venues in this category.
Comparison
Sportsbook comparison
We will not rank operators from memory. This section publishes the criteria first; scores appear only once each input is retrieved from a citable source and dated.
No operator comparison is published yet
Ranking operators requires published criteria and current, verifiable inputs for every column. Until both exist, we publish the framework below rather than scores. There are no affiliate placements on this site.
Odds quality
Average effective hold on primary markets across a sampled slate, computed from prices we retrieved and can cite.
Product score
Market menu breadth, price transparency, in-play tooling, and interface latency. Promotional offers excluded.
Market depth
Posted limits on primary markets, taken from the operator's published terms.
Payout speed
Documented settlement-to-withdrawal window, quoted from the operator's own published policy.
SportsWager.com does not accept wagers, take placement fees, or route users to operators.
Regulation
State legality reference
Legal status is never published from AI memory. Each jurisdiction page is a research template until a person has read the primary sources, cited them, dated the review, and published it.
Review progress
Last ReviewedNo reviews completed0 of 51 jurisdictions published
Until a jurisdiction is published, its page states plainly that it has not been researched. We would rather show nothing than a legal conclusion we cannot source. Nothing on this site is legal advice.
See the research templateNo jurisdiction has completed legal review
Each page requires the governing statute, the supervising regulator, the current status of licensed operation, treatment of federally regulated event contracts, a review date, and a named reviewer.
AI insights
AI-written summaries
The assistant explains method: odds arithmetic, implied probability, line-movement mechanics, and market structure. It does not predict outcomes, and it will tell you when it has no verified source.
No market summary is published
A generated summary is published only when it is grounded in connected data and cites it. With no data source connected, publishing one would mean inventing the market it describes.
Premium analytics
The research layer, once data is connected
Every module above is written against a typed integration contract. When odds, schedule, weather, and exchange feeds are connected, these surfaces populate without an interface rewrite.
FAQ
Common questions
What this platform is, what the data represents, and where the assistant draws its limits.
The Open
Market structure, decoded every morning
One brief: overnight repricing, cross-venue spreads, and one concept explained properly. No picks, no promos.